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China is to increase its maritime surveillance and alarm bells will be ringing in Japan

02 May

China is to increase its maritime surveillance and alarm bells will be ringing in Japan

Lee Jay Walker

Modern Tokyo Times

Senkaku-Diaoyu tensions

The government of China is intent on spreading its power projection and installing more clout over disputed islands and islets with several regional nations.  China announced major plans which are to be implemented over the next five years. The government of China is clearly not aiming this new change at any one regional nation however part of this plan is aimed at the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands with Japan.

The modernization of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and all divisions within the armed forces of China is an ongoing reality.  China clearly views the situation to be self-defensive but tensions over these disputed islands alongside the Spratlys, and other sensitive areas, with other regional nations, is hindering China’s future sphere of influence.

China also believes that time is on the side of China because America’s spiraling debt and Japan’s lack of leadership and internal demographic and economic issues; means that powers in Beijing believe that only an energetic China can expand its zone of interest.

Also, China which owes a huge amount of America’s debt is also spreading its power over Taiwan because of the ever increasing volume of trade.  China is hoping that Taiwan will be sucked into China’s orbit and that a careful nationalist policy under central control will further eradicate and zap the energy of Taiwan.

Japan’s policy over the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands is seen to be in a flux because the political merry-go-round means that you don’t have any long-term binding policies.

More important, China is fully aware that Japan is involved with territorial disputes with all regional powers and the Russian Federation and South Korea are also weary of Japan’s intentions.

The Russian Federation clearly is increasing its stranglehold over the disputed territories.  Also, the Russian Federation understands that Japan over relies on Middle East oil therefore leaders in Moscow believe that they hold all the aces.

Sun Shuxian, China Marine Surveillance, commented that the frequency of sea patrols would be more frequent in order “to strengthen law enforcement in Chinese-related waters.”

Sun Shuxian also gave information about another 36 inspection ships being added to China’s Marine Surveillance and another 1,000 personnel would be recruited in order to monitor important and sensitive areas.  He reported that these measures would be implemented over the next five years.

China also believes that America’s containment of Japan will continue and this will restrict Japan’s hand because America would not desire to become embroiled in a major dispute between China and Japan.

It must be added that these tensions are nothing new but China in the past was hindered by an outdated military and limited economic and political leverages.

However, the new China since Deng Xiaoping is based on economic expansion and now this is being backed by greater political power.  At the same time the modernization of the armed forces of China continues to grow and the military budget is able to meet this military modernization.

China does not desire an open conflict with any regional nation and they hope that natural power projections based on trade and energy links will increase China’s influence.

China also understands that Japan’s dispute with the Russian Federation is hindering Japan’s energy policy and this applies to being over reliant on oil from the Middle East.

Japanese politicians may bluster but unlike the one-party-state in China which can implement genuine long-term policies. It appears that the political leadership in Japan is unable to do the same and because of major structural problems within the economic and political system; then China believes that power projection in these disputed areas belongs to Beijing and not Tokyo.

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3 responses to “China is to increase its maritime surveillance and alarm bells will be ringing in Japan

  1. Shahr

    October 11, 2011 at 12:45 pm

    Leejayuk.do you remember 1937?The Nanjing massacre. And from the opium era right up to 1 996 the Chinese have been bullied and intimidated by the US. If you are China man what would you ask your country to do.
    The Chinese are modernising their forces not to attack Japan or any other country. It is to make sure sure any country,most likely the US,would get a stinging rebuff if it attacks China.

    .The PLA is building the forces to defend China from attack.My question if the US can have powerful weapons,why can’t the Chinese.
    I am afraid the time only US forces are killed and the US homeland immune is a thing of the past. The Chinese aint goint to attack the conus but would only hit back if attacked. You see the US is used to a safe environement for its forces to operate or attack.The victim must not have the means of self defence because it is alien to the US.In other words if the US attacks like in Iraq and Afghanistan,its bases are not to be subject to retaliation.
    With time,unless the US starts a war in 2011,all the odds are with the US at present,the Chinese will be able to cause more devastation to US forcres and homeland. Yes I know it will prevail but at enormous cost.Btw, the Britsish empire had to call it a day after being top dog for 125 to 150 years.
    Similarly the US will one day run out of money to upkeep its huge military.

     
    • leejayuk

      October 19, 2011 at 7:48 am

      Hello – please remember that I mainly highlight a Japanese point of view and China recently was embroiled with Vietnam over delicate matters.

      Just because I write from a Japanese point of view because I am the co-owner of Modern Tokyo Times (http://moderntokyotimes.com) – doesn’t mean that I agree
      with everything.

      Of course China needs to modernize its armed forces and please remember that China and America worked together against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan when Najibullah was in power. Also, both China and America were anti-Vietnam and Vietnam was at war with America and then with China (China turned against both the Soviet Union and Vietnam). This meant that China and America propped up Pol Pot for a set period of time.

      China and Japan in history have been loyal friends – scholars from both nations went to both countries and clearly China took many thinks to Japan and Japanese were pro-China for thousands of years. The nationalist period of Japan was a perversion of what Japan once was because Japanese militarism was barbaric just like the shame of the British with regards to the Opium war.

      I hope that China and Japan will worked together in the future but this is still a few years away – but trade keeps on growing and cultural exchanges are happening more.

      I agree with much of what you state. Thanks.

      Lee Jay
      http://moderntokyotimes.com
      http://global-security-news.com

       
    • leejayuk

      October 19, 2011 at 7:52 am

      Hello

      I agree with most of what you said but remember that China/America worked together against Najibullah in Afghanistan and after China’s fall out with Vietnam – then China also had a brief war with Vietnam which was welcomed in Washington. China of course needs to develop its military forces just like any power but issues over small islands must be resolved instead of turning to nationalism.

      Thank you

      Lee Jay
      http://moderntokyotimes.com
      http://global-security-news.com

       

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