Libya: rebel forces enter Tripoli but all morality is lost in this fog of war
Boutros Hussein and Lee Jay Walker
Modern Tokyo Times
It is reported that rebels have now entered Tripoli and fighting is raging in many areas of the city. If so, the end-game may be near for Col Muammar Gaddafi but his forces may launch a counter offensive or simply they could just melt away or collapse.
Civil wars are complex by nature but given the fire power of the rebels, NATO support, covert training inside Libya and more than likely, foreign fighters helping the rebels, it would all indicate borrowed time for Col Muammar Gaddafi.
The war, it must be stated, shows the limitations of international law and how it can be abused by major powers. It is nothing to do with humanitarian factors, this is bogus, for millions of Africans were killed in Sudan in the name of Arabization and little was done to prevent this.
Other issues are at play and just who are the rebels? Are they freedom fighters, Islamists, idealists, opportunists or a mixed bag of disgruntled individuals?
Whatever the rebels are it is difficult to say. However, to see NATO and covert operations going on within a sovereign nation does not bode well nor does it give the right impression.
Surely, big media agencies like the BBC, CNN, Reuters, and others, will come up with the same short term gestures like always. Yet, the Taliban soon left Kabul, the Iraqi army was soon defeated, the Serbian armed forces were forced out of Kosovo but then what?
In Afghanistan and Iraq you still have chaos and terrorist attacks happening on a regular basis. In Kosovo and Iraq most of the Christians have fled and narcotics is booming in Kosovo and Afghanistan.
Therefore, NATO and the media circus will have a few days or weeks to celebrate about something they don’t fully understand. After this, the real motives behind the opposition will become known and like usual it may not be so progressive.
NATO claims that it didn’t overstep the mark and help the rebels – but this can be taken with a pinch of salt and Islamists are waiting in the shadows.
It seems most likely that the Libyan leader will flee or he will be killed by rebel forces. It is difficult to imagine that he will survive to tell the story but at the moment this is just guesswork.
According to the BBC “A government source here believes that local tribes are preparing to protect their own. There is a fear among some in government circles that if the rebels are allowed to reach Tripoli, the city could be on the verge of all-out tribal warfare.”
“The government is losing its grip on power but what comes next may not be the smooth regime change the west would like to see.”
In the light of day, a murky conflict and still too much confusion to fully understand what will happen because a counter attack could happen or forces loyal to the Libyan leader may believe that their time is up.
Many people have been killed and for many ordinary Libyans the fog of this war is shrouded with deals being done in corridors of power but without any firm control of what will happen in the future.
Therefore, does stability await or will it be chaos?